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4 Nov 2024, 6:44 am
It's a permission structure for the small sliver of undecided voters who might have voted for Trump before to say: It's okay, there are other people just like you, other people who don't think that Donald Trump is good anymore.... [read post]
20 Jun 2024, 12:31 pm by Joseph Fishkin
The Supreme Court today took the narrowest and simplest route to upholding an obscure tax provision in Moore v. [read post]
18 Sep 2017, 1:36 am
Whether domain expertise can safeguard against hindsight bias is not entirely clear, experts – specifically judges – are certainly not immune to hindsight bias.[3]Deliberation in groups does not seem to reliably reduce hindsight bias, but the research is limited and restricted to small groups (three people). [read post]